Gnistan 0-1 SJK Seinajoki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 28 Apr 2024

Gnistan
0-1 HT 0-0
SJK Seinajoki
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Finland - Veikkausliiga – 2024

Gnistan vs SJK Seinajoki Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
4.17
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
20%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
9.48
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.17 — our 26% vs market 19.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.02
1/2
7%
24.0
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
12%
6.2
X/2
15%
5.19
X/X
9%
5.27
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
20%
3.14
2/X
8%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.8pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gnistan v SJK Seinajoki — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gnistan EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 45%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
0.78/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.00
-9% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
242 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
11.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
14.1 Crosses 23.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1

Gnistan 0-1 SJK Seinajoki — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gnistan
0-1
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
280 Passes 252
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
POST-MATCH Gnistan vs SJK Seinajoki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Seinajoki squeezed past Gnistan 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had SJK Seinajoki as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gnistan had 52% of the ball to SJK Seinajoki's 48%, shots finished 13-19.

What was the final score of Gnistan vs SJK Seinajoki?

Gnistan 0-1 SJK Seinajoki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gnistan vs SJK Seinajoki?

Before kick-off our model rated an SJK Seinajoki win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gnistan 35%, draw 23%, SJK Seinajoki 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SJK Seinajoki)
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