Cheonan City 2-3 Ansan Greeners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.94
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.96
6+ Goals
8%
18.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 29% vs market 28.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.6pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheonan City EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Ansan Greeners EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -8%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.39
-28% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
Crosses 12.9
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheonan City
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Ansan Greeners
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.06.2024 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-2 HT 1-1 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
06.05.2024 Cheonan City Cheonan City 1-1 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
02.09.2023 Cheonan City Cheonan City 1-1 HT 1-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
30.07.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 2-1 HT 0-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
19.04.2023 Cheonan City Cheonan City 1-1 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheonan City
2-3
AWAY Ansan Greeners
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
358 Passes 360
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cheonan City vs Ansan Greeners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ansan Greeners squeezed past Cheonan City 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Ansan Greeners found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cheonan City had 51% of the ball to Ansan Greeners's 49%, shots finished 13-17.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Cheonan City and 1.20 for Ansan Greeners.

What was the final score of Cheonan City vs Ansan Greeners?

Cheonan City 2-3 Ansan Greeners in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheonan City vs Ansan Greeners?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cheonan City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cheonan City 39%, draw 30%, Ansan Greeners 31%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cheonan City) ✗ Under 2.5
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