Aguilas Doradas 2-1 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.77
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.44
Over 2.5
43%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.2pp
30%
Draw
32%
-2.7pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
66%
-8.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
34%
+8.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.7pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
1.06/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.06
+6% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
17.8 Crosses 13.4
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguilas Doradas
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Millonarios
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.71 xG 0.74
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
264 Passes 391
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
04.09.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
20.03.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 2-2 HT 2-2 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
15.08.2022 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 0-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
17.02.2022 Millonarios Millonarios 2-0 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
04.10.2021 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aguilas Doradas
2-1
AWAY Millonarios
1.01 xG 0.25
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
226 Passes 305
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 4
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aguilas Doradas vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguilas Doradas nicked a narrow win over Millonarios 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Aguilas Doradas found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aguilas Doradas had 45% of the ball to Millonarios's 55%, shots finished 11-3, expected goals 1.01 to 0.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aguilas Doradas and 0.83 for Millonarios.

What was the final score of Aguilas Doradas vs Millonarios?

Aguilas Doradas 2-1 Millonarios in the Colombia - Primera on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguilas Doradas vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguilas Doradas win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Aguilas Doradas 38%, draw 30%, Millonarios 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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