Mjondalen 2-0 Levanger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.22
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
21%
3.01
6+ Goals
11%
9.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.22 — our 26% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.2pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.1pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+1.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.0pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjondalen EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Levanger EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.51/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/1.35
+1% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
231 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjondalen
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Levanger
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.08.2024 Levanger Levanger 1-1 HT 1-1 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
22.07.2018 Mjondalen Mjondalen 4-0 HT 3-0 Levanger Levanger NOR1
17.06.2018 Levanger Levanger 0-4 HT 0-2 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
29.10.2017 Mjondalen Mjondalen 3-1 HT 1-0 Levanger Levanger NOR1
23.04.2017 Levanger Levanger 1-1 HT 1-1 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
30.10.2016 Levanger Levanger 2-2 HT 0-1 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjondalen
2-0
AWAY Levanger
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mjondalen vs Levanger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjondalen got the better of Levanger 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Levanger at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Mjondalen had 52% of the ball to Levanger's 48%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjondalen had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Mjondalen and 0.83 for Levanger.

What was the final score of Mjondalen vs Levanger?

Mjondalen 2-0 Levanger in the Norway - 1st Division on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjondalen vs Levanger?

Before kick-off our model rated an Levanger win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mjondalen 36%, draw 22%, Levanger 42%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Levanger) ✗ Over 2.5
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