Egersunds 3-2 Moss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.56
2-3 Goals
45%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.89
6+ Goals
10%
8.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.2pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Egersunds EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Moss EU Bookmakers 38%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +21%
1.46/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.33/1.30
-9% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Egersunds
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Moss
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Moss Moss 1-2 HT 1-1 Egersunds Egersunds NOR1
08.10.2022 Egersunds Egersunds 2-2 HT 1-1 Moss Moss NOR3
26.06.2022 Moss Moss 2-0 HT 1-0 Egersunds Egersunds NOR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Egersunds
3-2
AWAY Moss
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Egersunds vs Moss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Egersunds nicked a narrow win over Moss 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Egersunds as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Egersunds had 53% of the ball to Moss's 47%, shots finished 11-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Egersunds and 1.67 for Moss.

What was the final score of Egersunds vs Moss?

Egersunds 3-2 Moss in the Norway - 1st Division on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Egersunds vs Moss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Egersunds win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Egersunds 41%, draw 26%, Moss 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Egersunds), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Egersunds) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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