Moss 1-2 Egersunds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2024

Moss
1-2 HT 1-1
Egersunds
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - 1st Division – 2024

Moss vs Egersunds Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.63
2-3 Goals
42%
1.91
4-5 Goals
23%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
8.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.9pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Moss v Egersunds — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moss EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Egersunds EU Bookmakers 37%
+22% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
1.91/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/3.00
+20% / +114% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -50%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0

Moss vs Egersunds Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moss
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Egersunds
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.10.2022 Egersunds Egersunds 2-2 HT 1-1 Moss Moss NOR3
26.06.2022 Moss Moss 2-0 HT 1-0 Egersunds Egersunds NOR3
POST-MATCH Moss vs Egersunds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Egersunds nicked a narrow win over Moss 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Moss at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Moss had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Moss and 1.00 for Egersunds.

What was the final score of Moss vs Egersunds?

Moss 1-2 Egersunds in the Norway - 1st Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moss vs Egersunds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moss win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Moss 46%, draw 23%, Egersunds 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Moss) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Moss) ✓ BTTS Yes
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