Kongsvinger 3-0 Start — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.73
2-3 Goals
44%
1.92
4-5 Goals
22%
2.83
6+ Goals
10%
7.83
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.73 — our 24% vs market 16.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-10.8pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.2pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kongsvinger EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Start EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.65/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/2.10
-16% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
387 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kongsvinger
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Start
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Start Start 2-1 HT 0-1 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
02.07.2023 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 2-1 HT 0-1 Start Start NOR1
13.11.2022 Start Start 0-1 HT 0-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
14.08.2022 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 2-2 HT 1-1 Start Start NOR1
26.06.2022 Start Start 0-1 HT 0-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
04.08.2019 Start Start 3-1 HT 1-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kongsvinger
3-0
AWAY Start
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kongsvinger vs Start
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kongsvinger ran out comfortable winners over Start 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kongsvinger as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kongsvinger had 59% of the ball to Start's 41%, shots finished 16-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kongsvinger had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kongsvinger and 1.33 for Start.

What was the final score of Kongsvinger vs Start?

Kongsvinger 3-0 Start in the Norway - 1st Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kongsvinger vs Start?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kongsvinger win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kongsvinger 46%, draw 28%, Start 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kongsvinger) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kongsvinger) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR1 More Norway - 1st Division
27 Apr 2024
17:00 Bryne vs Sogndal Analysis →
17:00 Moss vs Egersunds Analysis →
17:00 Aalesund vs Raufoss Analysis →
17:00 Sandnes Ulf vs Levanger Analysis →
17:00 Asane vs Stabaek Analysis →