Aalesund 1-4 Raufoss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2024

Aalesund
1-4 HT 1-2
Raufoss
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Norway - 1st Division – 2024

Aalesund vs Raufoss Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
11.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.9pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aalesund v Raufoss — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalesund EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Raufoss EU Bookmakers 31%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
1.44/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.70
-20% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 64%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Aalesund vs Raufoss Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalesund
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Raufoss
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.08.2021 Aalesund Aalesund 4-2 HT 3-1 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
19.05.2021 Raufoss Raufoss 4-2 HT 2-2 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
06.10.2019 Aalesund Aalesund 3-1 HT 2-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
23.06.2019 Raufoss Raufoss 2-1 HT 1-1 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
12.09.2004 Aalesund Aalesund 1-0 HT 0-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
POST-MATCH Aalesund vs Raufoss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raufoss swept aside Aalesund 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Aalesund at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Aalesund had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Aalesund and 1.80 for Raufoss.

What was the final score of Aalesund vs Raufoss?

Aalesund 1-4 Raufoss in the Norway - 1st Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalesund vs Raufoss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aalesund win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Aalesund 46%, draw 25%, Raufoss 29%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aalesund) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aalesund) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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