Asane 2-2 Stabaek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.95
2-3 Goals
41%
1.95
4-5 Goals
27%
2.77
6+ Goals
11%
7.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+3.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.8pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asane EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Stabaek EU Bookmakers 49%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.51/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/1.37
+6% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
255 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asane
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Stabaek
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 0
03.10.2022 Stabaek Stabaek 4-0 HT 2-0 Asane Asane NOR1
19.04.2022 Asane Asane 0-4 HT 0-2 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
POST-MATCH Asane vs Stabaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asane and Stabaek couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Stabaek at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Stabaek led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Asane and 4.00 for Stabaek.

What was the final score of Asane vs Stabaek?

Asane 2-2 Stabaek in the Norway - 1st Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asane vs Stabaek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stabaek win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Asane 35%, draw 23%, Stabaek 43%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stabaek) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stabaek) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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