Cienciano vs Melgar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cienciano v Melgar — Team-Based Signals
Cienciano vs Melgar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Melgar
PER
1-0
HT 1-0
Cienciano
PER
2-2
HT 0-1
Melgar
PER
1-0
HT 0-0
Cienciano
PER
1-0
HT 1-0
Cienciano
CON CSA
Cienciano 3-1 Melgar — Actual Match Statistics
Cienciano got the better of Melgar 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Melgar at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cienciano had 44% of the ball to Melgar's 56%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.40 to 2.26 — on chances, Melgar could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melgar led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Cienciano and 1.33 for Melgar.
What was the final score of Cienciano vs Melgar?
Cienciano 3-1 Melgar in the Peru - Premier League on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cienciano vs Melgar?
Before kick-off our model rated an Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cienciano 26%, draw 28%, Melgar 46%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.