Union Comercio 3-3 Cusco FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
30%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.0pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.2pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-6.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Comercio EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.60/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.37
+32% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
250 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
19.3 Crosses 20.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Comercio
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Cusco FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.85 xG 1.35
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
263 Passes 309
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.03.2024 Cusco FC Cusco FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
04.08.2023 Union Comercio Union Comercio 2-1 HT 2-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
06.03.2023 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
03.07.2022 Cusco FC Cusco FC 4-1 HT 2-1 Union Comercio Union Comercio PERU2
18.11.2019 Cusco FC Cusco FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
02.06.2019 Union Comercio Union Comercio 0-1 HT 0-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Comercio
3-3
AWAY Cusco FC
1.74 xG 2.04
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
195 Passes 309
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Union Comercio vs Cusco FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Comercio and Cusco FC shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 34% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Comercio had 41% of the ball to Cusco FC's 59%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.74 to 2.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cusco FC led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Union Comercio and 2.17 for Cusco FC.

What was the final score of Union Comercio vs Cusco FC?

Union Comercio 3-3 Cusco FC in the Peru - Premier League on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Comercio vs Cusco FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Comercio win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Union Comercio 36%, draw 34%, Cusco FC 30%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Union Comercio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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