Cusco FC 1-0 Union Comercio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.3
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
73%
-13.6pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.7pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.5pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Comercio EU Bookmakers 12%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +9%
1.55/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/2.01
-13% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
319 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 73%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.3
17.3 Crosses 9.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cusco FC
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Union Comercio
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.50 xG 0.90
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
271 Passes 268
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2023 Union Comercio Union Comercio 2-1 HT 2-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
06.03.2023 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
03.07.2022 Cusco FC Cusco FC 4-1 HT 2-1 Union Comercio Union Comercio PERU2
18.11.2019 Cusco FC Cusco FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
02.06.2019 Union Comercio Union Comercio 0-1 HT 0-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
20.10.2018 Cusco FC Cusco FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cusco FC
1-0
AWAY Union Comercio
1.11 xG 0.23
71% Ball Possession 29%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
485 Passes 157
86% Pass Accuracy 66%
19 Box Touches 7
29 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cusco FC vs Union Comercio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cusco FC edged past Union Comercio 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cusco FC as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Cusco FC had 71% of the ball to Union Comercio's 29%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.11 to 0.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cusco FC had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Cusco FC and 0.67 for Union Comercio.

What was the final score of Cusco FC vs Union Comercio?

Cusco FC 1-0 Union Comercio in the Peru - Premier League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cusco FC vs Union Comercio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cusco FC win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Cusco FC 59%, draw 23%, Union Comercio 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cusco FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cusco FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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