Atletico Grau 3-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
57%
-14.2pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.6pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+9.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.2pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Grau EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Carlos Manucci Trujillo EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +17%
1.82/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.63
+14% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 71%
33.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
28.7 Crosses 15.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Grau
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Carlos Manucci Trujillo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.93 xG 0.75
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
284 Passes 229
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.07.2023 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 0-2 HT 0-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
14.05.2023 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
16.10.2022 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 2-1 HT 1-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
29.05.2022 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
04.07.2021 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 2-2 HT 1-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PERKB
14.09.2020 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Grau
3-0
AWAY Carlos Manucci Trujillo
1.41 xG 0.17
68% Ball Possession 32%
13 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 0
392 Passes 159
84% Pass Accuracy 67%
32 Box Touches 8
29 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Grau vs Carlos Manucci Trujillo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Grau ran out comfortable winners over Carlos Manucci Trujillo 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Grau as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Atletico Grau had 68% of the ball to Carlos Manucci Trujillo's 32%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.41 to 0.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carlos Manucci Trujillo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Grau and 1.17 for Carlos Manucci Trujillo.

What was the final score of Atletico Grau vs Carlos Manucci Trujillo?

Atletico Grau 3-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo in the Peru - Premier League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Grau vs Carlos Manucci Trujillo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Grau win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Atletico Grau 43%, draw 28%, Carlos Manucci Trujillo 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Grau), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Grau) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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