Alloa Athletic 2-3 St. Mirren II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 26 Aug 2025

Alloa Athletic
2-3 HT 0-1
St. Mirren II
📅26/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Scotland - Challenge Cup – 2025/2026

Alloa Athletic vs St. Mirren II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
4.91
2-3 Goals
43%
1.91
4-5 Goals
28%
2.55
6+ Goals
12%
6.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.4pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.7pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.7pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alloa Athletic v St. Mirren II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Mirren II EU Bookmakers 25%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.77/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/6.00
-21% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -71%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
297 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Alloa Athletic vs St. Mirren II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Mirren II squeezed past Alloa Athletic 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Alloa Athletic at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Alloa Athletic vs St. Mirren II?

Alloa Athletic 2-3 St. Mirren II in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 26/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alloa Athletic vs St. Mirren II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Alloa Athletic 48%, draw 24%, St. Mirren II 28%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alloa Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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