26/08/2025
·
20:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-3
2nd Score
1-2
Gurten vs Ried Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
14%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
26%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
31%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
10%
15%
Draw
16%
70%
Away Win
74%
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
43%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gurten v Ried — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Gurten
EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY
Ried
EU Bookmakers 78%
+7% /
+7%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+10% /
+10%
0.86/3.76
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
6.59/0.22
+18%
/
-4%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+84%
/
+150%
40%
Ball Possession
60%
8
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Target
7
3
Corners
7
213 · 65%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
342 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.7
Yellow Cards
2.5
POST-MATCH
Gurten vs Ried
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ried squeezed past Gurten 1-0 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ried as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Gurten vs Ried?
Gurten 0-1 Ried in the Austria - ÖFB Cup on 26/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gurten vs Ried?
Before kick-off our model rated an Ried win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Gurten 14%, draw 15%, Ried 70%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ried) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Ried)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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26 Aug 2025