Amstetten 2-1 First Vienna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - ÖFB Cup, 26 Aug 2025

📅26/08/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
45%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
40%
-9.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
45%
Away Win
34%
+11.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.4pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amstetten EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY First Vienna EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amstetten
1W-0D-4L
AWAY First Vienna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2025 First Vienna First Vienna 1-3 HT 0-2 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
22.11.2024 Amstetten Amstetten 1-3 HT 1-3 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
26.11.2023 Amstetten Amstetten 1-3 HT 0-1 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
05.05.2023 Amstetten Amstetten 0-4 HT 0-1 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
11.09.2022 First Vienna First Vienna 2-0 HT 1-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amstetten
2-1
AWAY First Vienna
49% Ball Possession 51%
22 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Amstetten vs First Vienna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amstetten nicked a narrow win over First Vienna 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was First Vienna at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Amstetten had 49% of the ball to First Vienna's 51%, shots finished 22-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, First Vienna led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Amstetten and 2.60 for First Vienna.

What was the final score of Amstetten vs First Vienna?

Amstetten 2-1 First Vienna in the Austria - ÖFB Cup on 26/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amstetten vs First Vienna?

Before kick-off our model rated an First Vienna win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Amstetten 30%, draw 25%, First Vienna 45%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (First Vienna) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (First Vienna) ✓ BTTS Yes
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