Palmeiras vs Sport Recife Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Palmeiras v Sport Recife — Team-Based Signals
Palmeiras vs Sport Recife Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Sport Recife
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Palmeiras
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Palmeiras
BR1
2-2
HT 2-1
Sport Recife
BR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Palmeiras
BR1
Palmeiras 3-0 Sport Recife — Actual Match Statistics
Palmeiras swept aside Sport Recife 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Palmeiras had 46% of the ball to Sport Recife's 54%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 3.17 to 0.32.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Palmeiras and 0.67 for Sport Recife.
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Sport Recife?
Palmeiras 3-0 Sport Recife in the Brazil - Serie A on 26/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Sport Recife?
Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 66%, draw 19%, Sport Recife 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.