Sport Recife vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sport Recife v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals
Sport Recife vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Sport Recife
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Palmeiras
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Palmeiras
BR1
2-2
HT 2-1
Sport Recife
BR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Palmeiras
BR1
2-3
HT 1-0
Sport Recife
BR1
Sport Recife 1-2 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics
Palmeiras edged past Sport Recife 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Palmeiras made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sport Recife had 50% of the ball to Palmeiras's 50%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.48 to 1.96 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Palmeiras's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sport Recife and 1.50 for Palmeiras.
What was the final score of Sport Recife vs Palmeiras?
Sport Recife 1-2 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sport Recife vs Palmeiras?
Before kick-off our model rated an Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sport Recife 32%, draw 28%, Palmeiras 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.