Mirassol FC 1-1 Fortaleza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
19%
5.71
6+ Goals
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.5
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.35
X/1
18%
4.88
X/2
5%
6.29
X/X
15%
3.63
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
18%
5.17
2/X
7%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.4pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.3pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.3pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
Crosses 18.0
Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirassol FC
1-1
AWAY Fortaleza
1.78 xG 0.97
70% Ball Possession 30%
20 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
509 Passes 170
85% Pass Accuracy 66%
32 Box Touches 13
32 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mirassol FC vs Fortaleza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirassol FC and Fortaleza shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mirassol FC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Mirassol FC had 70% of the ball to Fortaleza's 30%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.78 to 0.97.

What was the final score of Mirassol FC vs Fortaleza?

Mirassol FC 1-1 Fortaleza in the Brazil - Serie A on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirassol FC vs Fortaleza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 43%, draw 27%, Fortaleza 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mirassol FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mirassol FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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