Vitoria vs Flamengo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitoria v Flamengo — Team-Based Signals
Vitoria vs Flamengo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Vitoria
BR1
2-2
HT 1-1
Flamengo
BR1
1-2
HT 1-0
Flamengo
BR1
0-2
HT 0-1
Vitoria
BR1
Vitoria 1-2 Flamengo — Actual Match Statistics
Flamengo edged past Vitoria 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Vitoria had 37% of the ball to Flamengo's 63%, shots finished 5-14, expected goals 0.25 to 1.62 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Flamengo's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vitoria and 1.50 for Flamengo.
What was the final score of Vitoria vs Flamengo?
Vitoria 1-2 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitoria vs Flamengo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vitoria 32%, draw 26%, Flamengo 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.