Vitoria vs Flamengo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitoria v Flamengo — Team-Based Signals
Vitoria vs Flamengo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Vitoria
BR1
2-2
HT 1-1
Flamengo
BR1
1-2
HT 1-0
Flamengo
BR1
0-2
HT 0-1
Vitoria
BR1
1-2
HT 1-1
Flamengo
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Vitoria
BR1
Vitoria 1-2 Flamengo — Actual Match Statistics
Flamengo edged past Vitoria 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Vitoria had 43% of the ball to Flamengo's 57%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.44 to 1.03 — the balance of chances actually favoured Vitoria.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vitoria and 1.33 for Flamengo.
What was the final score of Vitoria vs Flamengo?
Vitoria 1-2 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitoria vs Flamengo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Vitoria 24%, draw 26%, Flamengo 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.