Criciuma vs Fortaleza Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Criciuma v Fortaleza — Team-Based Signals
Criciuma vs Fortaleza Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Fortaleza
BR2
2-0
HT 1-0
Criciuma
BR2
2-1
HT 0-1
Fortaleza
BR2
Criciuma 1-1 Fortaleza — Actual Match Statistics
Criciuma and Fortaleza couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Criciuma had 48% of the ball to Fortaleza's 52%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 0.48 to 1.62.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Criciuma had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Criciuma and 1.00 for Fortaleza.
What was the final score of Criciuma vs Fortaleza?
Criciuma 1-1 Fortaleza in the Brazil - Serie A on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Criciuma vs Fortaleza?
Before kick-off our model rated a Criciuma win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 38%, draw 26%, Fortaleza 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Criciuma), BTTS No went the other way.