Fluminense vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fluminense v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals
Fluminense vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Fluminense
BR1
2-1
HT 1-0
Palmeiras
BR1
1-1
HT 1-1
Palmeiras
BR1
1-1
HT 0-0
Fluminense
BR1
2-1
HT 0-1
Palmeiras
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Fluminense
BR1
Fluminense 1-0 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics
Fluminense squeezed past Palmeiras 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Fluminense made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Fluminense had 50% of the ball to Palmeiras's 50%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.95 to 0.13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fluminense and 1.00 for Palmeiras.
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
Fluminense 1-0 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
Before kick-off our model rated an Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 35%, draw 28%, Palmeiras 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Palmeiras) went the other way.