Sao Paulo vs Botafogo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sao Paulo v Botafogo — Team-Based Signals
Sao Paulo vs Botafogo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Botafogo
BR1
2-1
HT 1-1
Sao Paulo
BR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Botafogo
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Sao Paulo
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Sao Paulo
BR1
4-0
HT 3-0
Botafogo
BR1
Sao Paulo 2-2 Botafogo — Actual Match Statistics
Sao Paulo and Botafogo shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match lean was Sao Paulo at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sao Paulo had 69% of the ball to Botafogo's 31%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 2.03 to 1.71.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sao Paulo and 0.83 for Botafogo.
What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Botafogo?
Sao Paulo 2-2 Botafogo in the Brazil - Serie A on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sao Paulo vs Botafogo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 41%, draw 30%, Botafogo 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.