Internacional 3-0 Cruzeiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.68
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
17%
4.62
6+ Goals
8%
24.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 34% vs market 32.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.17
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
15.8
X/1
20%
3.99
X/2
8%
10.5
X/X
14%
4.44
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
8%
9.5
2/X
6%
18.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.1pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Internacional EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.81/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.45
+8% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
419 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 79%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
23.9 Crosses 14.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Internacional
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Cruzeiro
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.42 xG 1.18
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 Passes 419
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 3
29.08.2024 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
26.08.2024 Internacional Internacional 1-0 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
05.11.2023 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-2 HT 0-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
02.07.2023 Internacional Internacional 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
06.10.2019 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-1 HT 0-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
05.09.2019 Internacional Internacional 3-0 HT 1-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Internacional
3-0
AWAY Cruzeiro
2.43 xG 0.31
68% Ball Possession 32%
24 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
558 Passes 224
93% Pass Accuracy 82%
41 Box Touches 9
19 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Internacional vs Cruzeiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Internacional swept aside Cruzeiro 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Internacional as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Internacional had 68% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 32%, shots finished 24-6, expected goals 2.43 to 0.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Internacional and 0.33 for Cruzeiro.

What was the final score of Internacional vs Cruzeiro?

Internacional 3-0 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Internacional vs Cruzeiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Internacional 50%, draw 29%, Cruzeiro 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Internacional), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Internacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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