Flamengo 2-2 Vitoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 8 Dec 2024

Flamengo
2-2 HT 0-1
Vitoria
📅08/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Flamengo vs Vitoria Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.53
2-3 Goals
43%
1.92
4-5 Goals
21%
2.95
6+ Goals
10%
8.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.53 — our 26% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.67
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
19.05
X/1
13%
3.63
X/2
9%
15.55
X/X
9%
6.91
2/1
8%
22.1
2/2
6%
12.0
2/X
6%
19.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
68%
-9.1pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.4pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.1pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Flamengo v Vitoria — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flamengo EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria EU Bookmakers 16%
-8% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.86/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.25
-3% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
416 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
22.1 Crosses 17.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0

Flamengo vs Vitoria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flamengo
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Vitoria
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.69 xG 0.81
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
392 Passes 308
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.07.2024 Vitoria Vitoria 1-2 HT 0-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
24.08.2018 Flamengo Flamengo 1-0 HT 1-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
15.04.2018 Vitoria Vitoria 2-2 HT 1-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
03.12.2017 Vitoria Vitoria 1-2 HT 1-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
06.08.2017 Flamengo Flamengo 0-2 HT 0-1 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
11.09.2016 Vitoria Vitoria 1-2 HT 1-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1

Flamengo 2-2 Vitoria — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flamengo
2-2
AWAY Vitoria
1.92 xG 0.83
67% Ball Possession 33%
23 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
550 Passes 230
89% Pass Accuracy 78%
42 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Flamengo vs Vitoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo and Vitoria couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Flamengo carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Flamengo had 67% of the ball to Vitoria's 33%, shots finished 23-12, expected goals 1.92 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Flamengo and 1.17 for Vitoria.

What was the final score of Flamengo vs Vitoria?

Flamengo 2-2 Vitoria in the Brazil - Serie A on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Vitoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 59%, draw 20%, Vitoria 20%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Flamengo) ✗ BTTS No
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