Juventude 0-1 Cruzeiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
3.1
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.86
6+ Goals
8%
16.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 34% vs market 27.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.98
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
10%
4.67
X/2
13%
6.85
X/X
14%
4.47
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
13%
5.11
2/X
8%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.4pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventude EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
1.27/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.16
-20% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +82%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
23.6 Crosses 18.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventude
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cruzeiro
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.08 xG 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
264 Passes 393
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 3
25.07.2024 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 2-0 HT 1-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
17.01.2021 Juventude Juventude 1-0 HT 1-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR2
17.10.2020 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Juventude Juventude BR2
06.09.2007 Juventude Juventude 1-0 HT 1-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
11.06.2007 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 2-3 HT 1-2 Juventude Juventude BR1
11.09.2006 Juventude Juventude 2-0 HT 2-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventude
0-1
AWAY Cruzeiro
1.48 xG 0.78
50% Ball Possession 50%
21 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
301 Passes 310
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 16
32 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Juventude vs Cruzeiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruzeiro edged past Juventude 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Cruzeiro made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Juventude had 50% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 50%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 1.48 to 0.78 — the balance of chances actually favoured Juventude.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventude had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Juventude and 0.67 for Cruzeiro.

What was the final score of Juventude vs Cruzeiro?

Juventude 0-1 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventude vs Cruzeiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventude win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Juventude 39%, draw 29%, Cruzeiro 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Juventude) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Juventude) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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