Bahia 2-0 Atletico Goianiense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.38
2-3 Goals
45%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
3.0
6+ Goals
9%
9.02
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.38 — our 24% vs market 18.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.77
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.75
X/1
19%
3.71
X/2
6%
13.8
X/X
11%
6.53
2/1
8%
22.1
2/2
6%
10.6
2/X
7%
18.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
65%
-8.0pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.3pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahia EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -9%
1.55/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.62
-23% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
419 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
22.3 Crosses 16.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahia
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.05 xG 1.09
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
382 Passes 265
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.07.2024 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-1 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
30.11.2021 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 2-1 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
16.08.2021 Bahia Bahia 1-2 HT 1-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
11.01.2021 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-1 HT 1-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
14.09.2020 Bahia Bahia 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
12.09.2017 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-1 HT 1-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahia
2-0
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
2.94 xG 0.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
249 Passes 280
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Box Touches 9
14 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bahia vs Atletico Goianiense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahia got the better of Atletico Goianiense 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bahia as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Bahia had 48% of the ball to Atletico Goianiense's 52%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 2.94 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Goianiense led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bahia and 1.33 for Atletico Goianiense.

What was the final score of Bahia vs Atletico Goianiense?

Bahia 2-0 Atletico Goianiense in the Brazil - Serie A on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahia vs Atletico Goianiense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Bahia 57%, draw 25%, Atletico Goianiense 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bahia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bahia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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