Spartak Moskova 4-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 26 Aug 2025

Spartak Moskova
4-0 HT 2-0
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
📅26/08/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✓
Russia - Cup – 2025/2026

Spartak Moskova vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.33
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
16%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.61
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.0
6+ Goals
10%
9.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
71%
-6.6pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.4pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Spartak Moskova v Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 14%
-11% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.27/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/2.48
+3% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% / -19%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
413 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6

Spartak Moskova vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Moskova
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.48 xG 0.31
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
499 Passes 181
84% Pass Accuracy 66%
37 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.12.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-0 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
27.10.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-2 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
05.05.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
22.10.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 2-0 HT 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
19.09.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-3 HT 0-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUK
08.08.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 5-4 HT 3-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUK
POST-MATCH Spartak Moskova vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Moskova cruised past Pari Nizhny Novgorod 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Spartak Moskova as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Spartak Moskova and 0.67 for Pari Nizhny Novgorod.

What was the final score of Spartak Moskova vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Spartak Moskova 4-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod in the Russia - Cup on 26/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Moskova vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Spartak Moskova 64%, draw 20%, Pari Nizhny Novgorod 16%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Moskova), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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