FC Akhmat Grozny 2-0 Rubin Kazan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 26 Aug 2025

📅26/08/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.86
2-3 Goals
45%
1.7
4-5 Goals
17%
3.6
6+ Goals
11%
15.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.55/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.10
-15% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +34%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Rubin Kazan
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.22 xG 1.18
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
357 Passes 219
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
29 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
20.07.2025 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 0-2 HT 0-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
01.03.2025 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 2-1 HT 1-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
05.10.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
31.03.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
08.10.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 0-1 HT 0-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
07.03.2022 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-2 HT 1-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
2-0
AWAY Rubin Kazan
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Akhmat Grozny vs Rubin Kazan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Akhmat Grozny beat Rubin Kazan 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Akhmat Grozny as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FC Akhmat Grozny had 51% of the ball to Rubin Kazan's 49%, shots finished 5-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rubin Kazan led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FC Akhmat Grozny and 1.67 for Rubin Kazan.

What was the final score of FC Akhmat Grozny vs Rubin Kazan?

FC Akhmat Grozny 2-0 Rubin Kazan in the Russia - Cup on 26/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Akhmat Grozny vs Rubin Kazan?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Akhmat Grozny win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FC Akhmat Grozny 44%, draw 24%, Rubin Kazan 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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