Rubin Kazan 2-0 FC Akhmat Grozny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 5 Oct 2024

Rubin Kazan
2-0 HT 1-0
FC Akhmat Grozny
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Rubin Kazan vs FC Akhmat Grozny Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.74
Over 2.5
39%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.81
No
60%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.0
6+ Goals
9%
18.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 34% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.2
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
9%
4.78
X/2
14%
6.24
X/X
11%
4.29
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
18%
4.66
2/X
9%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
54%
+7.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
46%
-7.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
51%
-11.0pp
60%
BTTS No
49%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rubin Kazan v FC Akhmat Grozny — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
0.94/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.31
-27% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
306 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 73%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
15.9 Crosses 13.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7

Rubin Kazan vs FC Akhmat Grozny Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rubin Kazan
4W-2D-0L
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.01 xG 0.92
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
268 Passes 280
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
31.03.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
08.10.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 0-1 HT 0-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
07.03.2022 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-2 HT 1-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
08.08.2021 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
17.12.2020 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 0-0 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
04.10.2020 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS

Rubin Kazan 2-0 FC Akhmat Grozny — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rubin Kazan
2-0
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
1.19 xG 1.17
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
155 Passes 347
59% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rubin Kazan vs FC Akhmat Grozny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rubin Kazan got the better of FC Akhmat Grozny 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Rubin Kazan found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Rubin Kazan had 37% of the ball to FC Akhmat Grozny's 63%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.19 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rubin Kazan had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rubin Kazan and 0.67 for FC Akhmat Grozny.

What was the final score of Rubin Kazan vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Rubin Kazan 2-0 FC Akhmat Grozny in the Russia - Premier League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rubin Kazan vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Akhmat Grozny win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Rubin Kazan 36%, draw 27%, FC Akhmat Grozny 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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