Rubin Kazan 2-1 FC Akhmat Grozny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.29
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.34
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.7
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.1
X/1
10%
4.92
X/2
9%
5.69
X/X
11%
3.62
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
18%
4.53
2/X
8%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.8pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
0.81/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.44
-41% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
17.6 Crosses 13.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rubin Kazan
3W-3D-0L
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.01 xG 1.10
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
277 Passes 273
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.10.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 0-1 HT 0-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
07.03.2022 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-2 HT 1-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
08.08.2021 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
17.12.2020 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 0-0 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
04.10.2020 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
30.11.2019 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-1 HT 1-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rubin Kazan
2-1
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
1.07 xG 0.47
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
296 Passes 349
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 18
6 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rubin Kazan vs FC Akhmat Grozny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rubin Kazan squeezed past FC Akhmat Grozny 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Rubin Kazan made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rubin Kazan had 46% of the ball to FC Akhmat Grozny's 54%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.07 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rubin Kazan had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rubin Kazan and 0.67 for FC Akhmat Grozny.

What was the final score of Rubin Kazan vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Rubin Kazan 2-1 FC Akhmat Grozny in the Russia - Premier League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rubin Kazan vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rubin Kazan win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rubin Kazan 40%, draw 28%, FC Akhmat Grozny 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rubin Kazan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rubin Kazan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS More Russia - Premier League
31 Mar 2024
14:00 Fakel vs FK Orenburg Analysis →
19:30 Lokomotiv Moscow vs Krasnodar Analysis →