Fakel 0-0 FK Orenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.27
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.39
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
3.46
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
10%
4.67
X/2
13%
5.99
X/X
15%
3.64
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
10%
4.9
2/X
5%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+3.4pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.5pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fakel EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Orenburg EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -4%
1.26/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.40
-30% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
331 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
24.7 Crosses 17.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fakel
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FK Orenburg
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.70 xG 1.89
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
187 Passes 293
64% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.10.2023 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 1-2 HT 0-1 Fakel Fakel RUS
21.09.2023 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Fakel Fakel RUK
29.08.2023 Fakel Fakel 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUK
22.04.2023 Fakel Fakel 1-3 HT 1-2 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
28.10.2022 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 4-1 HT 2-0 Fakel Fakel RUS
13.11.2021 Fakel Fakel 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fakel
0-0
AWAY FK Orenburg
0.71 xG 0.41
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
152 Passes 250
64% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 9
24 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fakel vs FK Orenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fakel and FK Orenburg played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Fakel at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Fakel had 43% of the ball to FK Orenburg's 57%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.71 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Orenburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fakel and 1.50 for FK Orenburg.

What was the final score of Fakel vs FK Orenburg?

Fakel 0-0 FK Orenburg in the Russia - Premier League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fakel vs FK Orenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fakel win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fakel 43%, draw 29%, FK Orenburg 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fakel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fakel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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