Akron 2-2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.54
6+ Goals
9%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 30% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.38
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.1
X/1
9%
4.13
X/2 EV+ ✗
15%
8.51
X/X
12%
4.86
2/1
6%
24.0
2/2
11%
6.53
2/X
8%
14.75
Value flag · X/2 at 8.51 — our 15% vs market 8.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-8.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+8.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.4pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akron EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
Crosses 17.0
Yellow Cards 2.4
POST-MATCH Akron vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akron and Pari Nizhny Novgorod shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Akron at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Akron vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Akron 2-2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod in the Russia - Premier League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akron vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Akron win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Akron 43%, draw 26%, Pari Nizhny Novgorod 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Akron) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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