FC Akhmat Grozny 0-2 Rubin Kazan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
18%
3.86
6+ Goals
11%
16.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 30% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.13
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
19%
5.03
X/2
12%
6.73
X/X
10%
4.51
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
12%
4.92
2/X
9%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.6pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
1.45/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.29
+0% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
18.6 Crosses 15.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Rubin Kazan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.16 xG 1.08
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 Passes 253
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.03.2025 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 2-1 HT 1-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
05.10.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
31.03.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
08.10.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 0-1 HT 0-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
07.03.2022 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-2 HT 1-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
08.08.2021 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
0-2
AWAY Rubin Kazan
1.29 xG 1.05
66% Ball Possession 34%
24 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
394 Passes 171
83% Pass Accuracy 68%
41 Box Touches 8
36 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH FC Akhmat Grozny vs Rubin Kazan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rubin Kazan saw off FC Akhmat Grozny 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was FC Akhmat Grozny at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, FC Akhmat Grozny had 66% of the ball to Rubin Kazan's 34%, shots finished 24-4, expected goals 1.29 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rubin Kazan led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Akhmat Grozny and 1.67 for Rubin Kazan.

What was the final score of FC Akhmat Grozny vs Rubin Kazan?

FC Akhmat Grozny 0-2 Rubin Kazan in the Russia - Premier League on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Akhmat Grozny vs Rubin Kazan?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Akhmat Grozny win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Akhmat Grozny 45%, draw 26%, Rubin Kazan 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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