Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-3 Krasnodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 20 Jul 2025

Pari Nizhny Novgorod
0-3 HT 0-1
Krasnodar
📅20/07/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2025/2026

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Krasnodar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.34
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
52%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
23%
3.15
6+ Goals
12%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.15 — our 25% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
10.8
1/2
9%
21.75
1/X
8%
19.15
X/1
10%
13.05
X/2
15%
4.0
X/X
8%
6.36
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
28%
1.8
2/X
5%
16.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
16%
+10.9pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.8pp
52%
Away Win
64%
-11.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod v Krasnodar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 69%
-5% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.07/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.03
+5% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -40%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
203 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 492 · 83%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.7
15.5 Crosses 16.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Krasnodar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Krasnodar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.32 xG 2.09
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
218 Passes 355
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.03.2025 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-3 HT 0-2 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
23.10.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-2 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUK
28.08.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-1 HT 0-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUK
18.08.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-1 HT 0-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
06.04.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 3-4 HT 2-2 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
04.10.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 3-0 HT 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUK
POST-MATCH Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Krasnodar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krasnodar cruised past Pari Nizhny Novgorod 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Krasnodar as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pari Nizhny Novgorod and 2.33 for Krasnodar.

What was the final score of Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Krasnodar?

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-3 Krasnodar in the Russia - Premier League on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Krasnodar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Pari Nizhny Novgorod 26%, draw 21%, Krasnodar 52%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krasnodar), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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