Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-3 Krasnodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
47%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.81
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
4.23
6+ Goals
12%
20.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.63
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X
8%
15.4
X/1
10%
8.0
X/2
15%
4.28
X/X
13%
4.38
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.55
2/X
6%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+2.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-2.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 54%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +13%
1.17/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.41
+19% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -14%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
254 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 79%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
17.5 Crosses 14.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Krasnodar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.12 xG 2.05
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
211 Passes 410
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.10.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-2 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUK
28.08.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-1 HT 0-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUK
18.08.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-1 HT 0-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
06.04.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 3-4 HT 2-2 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
04.10.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 3-0 HT 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUK
29.08.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-1 HT 0-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUK
POST-MATCH Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Krasnodar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krasnodar ran out comfortable winners over Pari Nizhny Novgorod 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Krasnodar as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pari Nizhny Novgorod and 2.00 for Krasnodar.

What was the final score of Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Krasnodar?

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-3 Krasnodar in the Russia - Premier League on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Krasnodar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Pari Nizhny Novgorod 27%, draw 27%, Krasnodar 47%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krasnodar), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✓ BTTS No
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