Krasnodar 2-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.32
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
19%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.44
No
57%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.7
6+ Goals
11%
15.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.57
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
24.45
X/1
20%
3.19
X/2
8%
19.65
X/X
10%
6.09
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
6%
18.15
2/X
7%
26.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
71%
-14.9pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.5pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+9.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
37%
+6.0pp
57%
BTTS No
63%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 12%
-8% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -14%
1.90/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.74
-25% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +36%
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
457 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 207 · 68%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.1
20.1 Crosses 11.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krasnodar
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.09 xG 1.35
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
451 Passes 262
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 20
8 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 3-4 HT 2-2 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
04.10.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 3-0 HT 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUK
29.08.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-1 HT 0-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUK
04.08.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-0 HT 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
09.04.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 3-1 HT 2-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
22.10.2022 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-2 HT 0-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
POST-MATCH Krasnodar vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krasnodar edged past Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Krasnodar as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Krasnodar and 0.67 for Pari Nizhny Novgorod.

What was the final score of Krasnodar vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Krasnodar 2-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod in the Russia - Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krasnodar vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Krasnodar 57%, draw 25%, Pari Nizhny Novgorod 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krasnodar) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✗ BTTS No
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