CSKA Moskova vs Lokomotiv Moscow Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CSKA Moskova v Lokomotiv Moscow — Team-Based Signals
CSKA Moskova vs Lokomotiv Moscow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 2-0
Lokomotiv Moscow
RUS
1-1
HT 1-0
Lokomotiv Moscow
RUS
0-1
HT 0-1
CSKA Moskova
RUS
1-2
HT 1-1
CSKA Moskova
RUS
1-2
HT 1-1
Lokomotiv Moscow
RUS
CSKA Moskova 0-1 Lokomotiv Moscow — Actual Match Statistics
Lokomotiv Moscow edged past CSKA Moskova 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Lokomotiv Moscow found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, CSKA Moskova had 55% of the ball to Lokomotiv Moscow's 45%, shots finished 15-3, expected goals 1.00 to 0.34 — on chances, CSKA Moskova could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for CSKA Moskova and 1.33 for Lokomotiv Moscow.
What was the final score of CSKA Moskova vs Lokomotiv Moscow?
CSKA Moskova 0-1 Lokomotiv Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CSKA Moskova vs Lokomotiv Moscow?
Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 39%, draw 25%, Lokomotiv Moscow 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (CSKA Moskova), Over 2.5 went the other way.