Spartak Moskova 3-0 Fakel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 18 Aug 2024

Spartak Moskova
3-0 HT 2-0
Fakel
📅18/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Spartak Moskova vs Fakel Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.3
Draw
25%
4.62
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.41
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 30% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.53
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
24.85
X/1
22%
3.22
X/2
7%
20.35
X/X
11%
6.5
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
6%
18.35
2/X
8%
26.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
72%
-15.5pp
25%
Draw
18%
+6.8pp
18%
Away Win
9%
+8.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
38%
+3.3pp
59%
BTTS No
62%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Spartak Moskova v Fakel — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Fakel EU Bookmakers 12%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.86/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.59
-17% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +7%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
445 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 69%
33.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
18.9 Crosses 13.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Spartak Moskova vs Fakel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Moskova
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Fakel
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.83 xG 1.26
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
367 Passes 144
76% Pass Accuracy 58%
33 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.03.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 0-2 HT 0-1 Fakel Fakel RUS
28.10.2023 Fakel Fakel 2-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
11.03.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-2 HT 2-2 Fakel Fakel RUS
19.10.2022 Fakel Fakel 1-2 HT 0-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUK
15.09.2022 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-0 HT 2-0 Fakel Fakel RUK
27.08.2022 Fakel Fakel 1-4 HT 1-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS

Spartak Moskova 3-0 Fakel — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Moskova
3-0
AWAY Fakel
3.99 xG 0.60
64% Ball Possession 36%
23 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
433 Passes 210
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
36 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spartak Moskova vs Fakel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Moskova cruised past Fakel 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spartak Moskova as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Spartak Moskova had 64% of the ball to Fakel's 36%, shots finished 23-5, expected goals 3.99 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Spartak Moskova and 1.33 for Fakel.

What was the final score of Spartak Moskova vs Fakel?

Spartak Moskova 3-0 Fakel in the Russia - Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Moskova vs Fakel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Spartak Moskova 57%, draw 25%, Fakel 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Moskova), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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