Khimki 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 18 Aug 2024

Khimki
1-1 HT 0-0
Zenit St. Petersburg
📅18/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Khimki vs Zenit St. Petersburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
60%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.01
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.01 — our 25% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
11.35
1/2
6%
22.3
1/X
6%
19.45
X/1
5%
14.3
X/2
19%
3.54
X/X
12%
6.41
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
34%
1.72
2/X
6%
18.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
14%
+2.7pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.5pp
60%
Away Win
66%
-6.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Khimki v Zenit St. Petersburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khimki EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 70%
+13% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
0.99/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.77
+46% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -6%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 81%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.6
12.3 Crosses 20.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.2

Khimki vs Zenit St. Petersburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khimki
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.00 xG 1.70
40% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
282 Passes 486
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.03.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-2 HT 1-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
15.07.2022 Khimki Khimki 1-1 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
07.05.2022 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
24.07.2021 Khimki Khimki 1-3 HT 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
05.04.2021 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
01.11.2020 Khimki Khimki 0-2 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS

Khimki 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khimki
1-1
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
0.37 xG 1.29
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
301 Passes 456
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 19
9 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Khimki vs Zenit St. Petersburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khimki and Zenit St. Petersburg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Zenit St. Petersburg carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Khimki had 42% of the ball to Zenit St. Petersburg's 58%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.37 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Khimki and 2.00 for Zenit St. Petersburg.

What was the final score of Khimki vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Khimki 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg in the Russia - Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khimki vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Khimki 16%, draw 24%, Zenit St. Petersburg 60%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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