Krasnodar 1-2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 23 Oct 2024

Krasnodar
1-2 HT 0-0
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
📅23/10/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Russia - Cup – 2025/2026

Krasnodar vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.3
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.36
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.96
6+ Goals
12%
8.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
72%
-8.3pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.2pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.4pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Krasnodar v Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 14%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.30/0.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.77
+2% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -28%
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
449 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6

Krasnodar vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krasnodar
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.05 xG 1.12
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
410 Passes 211
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.08.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-1 HT 0-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUK
18.08.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-1 HT 0-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
06.04.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 3-4 HT 2-2 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
04.10.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 3-0 HT 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUK
29.08.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-1 HT 0-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUK
04.08.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-0 HT 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
POST-MATCH Krasnodar vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pari Nizhny Novgorod squeezed past Krasnodar 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Krasnodar carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Krasnodar and 0.67 for Pari Nizhny Novgorod.

What was the final score of Krasnodar vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Krasnodar 1-2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod in the Russia - Cup on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krasnodar vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Krasnodar 64%, draw 20%, Pari Nizhny Novgorod 16%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Krasnodar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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