FK Orenburg 2-0 Khimki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.92
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.19
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
3.02
6+ Goals
11%
9.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
48%
+5.0pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.9pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Orenburg EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Khimki EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
2.18/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.04
+17% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +74%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Orenburg
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Khimki
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
2.01 xG 0.74
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
323 Passes 267
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Khimki Khimki 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
31.07.2024 Khimki Khimki 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUK
04.11.2022 Khimki Khimki 2-0 HT 0-0 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
03.09.2022 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 3-1 HT 2-1 Khimki Khimki RUS
31.10.2019 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 1-2 HT 0-2 Khimki Khimki RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Orenburg
2-0
AWAY Khimki
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Orenburg vs Khimki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Orenburg got the better of Khimki 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had FK Orenburg as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FK Orenburg had 44% of the ball to Khimki's 56%, shots finished 12-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Khimki led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for FK Orenburg and 1.20 for Khimki.

What was the final score of FK Orenburg vs Khimki?

FK Orenburg 2-0 Khimki in the Russia - Cup on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Orenburg vs Khimki?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Orenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split FK Orenburg 53%, draw 21%, Khimki 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Orenburg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Orenburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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