Khimki 0-0 FK Orenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 22 Sep 2024

Khimki
0-0 HT 0-0
FK Orenburg
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Khimki vs FK Orenburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.29
Over 2.5
47%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.87
2-3 Goals
43%
1.94
4-5 Goals
22%
2.8
6+ Goals
8%
7.53
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.87 — our 27% vs market 15.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.86
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.75
X/1
15%
5.09
X/2
10%
6.78
X/X
13%
5.63
2/1
6%
22.3
2/2
14%
4.26
2/X
6%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-0.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
40%
+12.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
60%
-12.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.3pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Khimki v FK Orenburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khimki EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Orenburg EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -8%
2.03/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.28
+11% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
15.6 Crosses 18.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9

Khimki vs FK Orenburg Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khimki
3W-0D-1L
AWAY FK Orenburg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.97 xG 2.49
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
308 Passes 288
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.07.2024 Khimki Khimki 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUK
04.11.2022 Khimki Khimki 2-0 HT 0-0 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
03.09.2022 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 3-1 HT 2-1 Khimki Khimki RUS
31.10.2019 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 1-2 HT 0-2 Khimki Khimki RUK

Khimki 0-0 FK Orenburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khimki
0-0
AWAY FK Orenburg
0.30 xG 1.04
35% Ball Possession 65%
5 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
186 Passes 393
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Khimki vs FK Orenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khimki and FK Orenburg fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Khimki at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Khimki had 35% of the ball to FK Orenburg's 65%, shots finished 5-18, expected goals 0.30 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Khimki had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Khimki and 1.00 for FK Orenburg.

What was the final score of Khimki vs FK Orenburg?

Khimki 0-0 FK Orenburg in the Russia - Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khimki vs FK Orenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Khimki win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Khimki 42%, draw 26%, FK Orenburg 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Khimki) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Khimki) ✓ Under 2.5
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