Spartak Moskova 2-2 Dinamo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.85
2-3 Goals
37%
1.93
4-5 Goals
22%
2.8
6+ Goals
14%
7.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.62
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
8%
4.83
X/2
13%
7.48
X/X
11%
5.62
2/1
8%
21.85
2/2
12%
4.81
2/X
8%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-8.0pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.5pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.4pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.41/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.36
+28% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
17.7 Crosses 16.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Moskova
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.94 xG 1.11
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
404 Passes 300
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.07.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-0 HT 1-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
12.07.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova HAZ
01.05.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 0-2 HT 0-2 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUSK
07.04.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-2 HT 1-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
04.10.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 3-0 HT 2-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUK
23.09.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-0 HT 1-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Moskova
2-2
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
1.33 xG 1.42
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
353 Passes 269
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spartak Moskova vs Dinamo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Moskova and Dinamo Moscow shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Spartak Moskova had 56% of the ball to Dinamo Moscow's 44%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.33 to 1.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Spartak Moskova and 0.83 for Dinamo Moscow.

What was the final score of Spartak Moskova vs Dinamo Moscow?

Spartak Moskova 2-2 Dinamo Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Moskova vs Dinamo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Spartak Moskova 39%, draw 28%, Dinamo Moscow 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Spartak Moskova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✓ BTTS Yes
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