Dinamo Moscow 1-1 Spartak Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 12 Jul 2024

📅12/07/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.49
No
39%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
25%
2.85
6+ Goals
14%
7.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
-2.4pp
39%
BTTS No
37%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.93/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.07
+24% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +31%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Moscow
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Spartak Moskova
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.09 xG 2.22
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
284 Passes 392
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 0-2 HT 0-2 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUSK
07.04.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-2 HT 1-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
04.10.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 3-0 HT 2-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUK
23.09.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-0 HT 1-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
29.08.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 4-1 HT 4-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
08.04.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-3 HT 2-2 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Moscow
1-1
AWAY Spartak Moskova
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dinamo Moscow vs Spartak Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Moscow and Spartak Moskova shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Dinamo Moscow had 40% of the ball to Spartak Moskova's 60%, shots finished 8-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dinamo Moscow and 2.00 for Spartak Moskova.

What was the final score of Dinamo Moscow vs Spartak Moskova?

Dinamo Moscow 1-1 Spartak Moskova in the Friendlies on 12/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Moscow vs Spartak Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Moscow 40%, draw 26%, Spartak Moskova 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dinamo Moscow), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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