Stal Mielec 5-0 Stal Rzeszow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 12 Jul 2024

📅12/07/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
45%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-4.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.9pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Mielec EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Rzeszow EU Bookmakers 54%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-23% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
329 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Mielec
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Stal Rzeszow
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
25.11.2022 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 1-0 HT 1-0 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Mielec
5-0
AWAY Stal Rzeszow
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Stal Mielec vs Stal Rzeszow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Mielec ran out comfortable winners over Stal Rzeszow 5-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Stal Rzeszow at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Stal Mielec had 42% of the ball to Stal Rzeszow's 58%, shots finished 9-13.

What was the final score of Stal Mielec vs Stal Rzeszow?

Stal Mielec 5-0 Stal Rzeszow in the Friendlies on 12/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Mielec vs Stal Rzeszow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stal Rzeszow win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Stal Mielec 28%, draw 26%, Stal Rzeszow 45%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Stal Rzeszow), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stal Rzeszow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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