Wisla Plock 1-1 Lechia Gdansk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 12 Jul 2024

📅12/07/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
51%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
29%
-5.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
51%
Away Win
46%
+4.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.4pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wisla Plock EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Lechia Gdansk EU Bookmakers 50%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-27% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
251 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wisla Plock
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.49 xG 1.05
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
296 Passes 274
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 3-1 HT 2-0 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL1
04.08.2023 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 1-1 HT 0-1 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL1
29.01.2023 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 1-0 HT 0-0 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
17.07.2022 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 3-0 HT 1-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
17.12.2021 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 1-0 HT 1-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
02.08.2021 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 1-0 HT 0-0 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wisla Plock
1-1
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Wisla Plock vs Lechia Gdansk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Plock and Lechia Gdansk shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Lechia Gdansk at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Wisla Plock had 45% of the ball to Lechia Gdansk's 55%, shots finished 8-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lechia Gdansk led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wisla Plock and 1.00 for Lechia Gdansk.

What was the final score of Wisla Plock vs Lechia Gdansk?

Wisla Plock 1-1 Lechia Gdansk in the Friendlies on 12/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wisla Plock vs Lechia Gdansk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lechia Gdansk win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Wisla Plock 24%, draw 25%, Lechia Gdansk 51%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lechia Gdansk), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lechia Gdansk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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