Lechia Gdansk 3-1 Wisla Plock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 17 Feb 2024

Lechia Gdansk
3-1 HT 2-0
Wisla Plock
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Poland - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Lechia Gdansk vs Wisla Plock Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.95
6+ Goals
11%
18.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lechia Gdansk v Wisla Plock — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lechia Gdansk EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Wisla Plock EU Bookmakers 33%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
2.75/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.04
+94% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -33%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2

Lechia Gdansk vs Wisla Plock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lechia Gdansk
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Wisla Plock
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.41 xG 1.91
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 8
251 Passes 300
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 26
23 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.08.2023 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 1-1 HT 0-1 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL1
29.01.2023 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 1-0 HT 0-0 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
17.07.2022 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 3-0 HT 1-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
17.12.2021 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 1-0 HT 1-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
02.08.2021 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 1-0 HT 0-0 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
30.04.2021 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 1-3 HT 0-1 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL

Lechia Gdansk 3-1 Wisla Plock — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lechia Gdansk
3-1
AWAY Wisla Plock
43% Ball Possession 57%
19 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lechia Gdansk vs Wisla Plock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lechia Gdansk beat Wisla Plock 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lechia Gdansk as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Lechia Gdansk had 43% of the ball to Wisla Plock's 57%, shots finished 19-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lechia Gdansk had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lechia Gdansk and 1.00 for Wisla Plock.

What was the final score of Lechia Gdansk vs Wisla Plock?

Lechia Gdansk 3-1 Wisla Plock in the Poland - 1st Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lechia Gdansk vs Wisla Plock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lechia Gdansk win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lechia Gdansk 44%, draw 27%, Wisla Plock 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lechia Gdansk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lechia Gdansk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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