Podbeskidzie Bielsko 2-2 Resovia Rzeszow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.44
6+ Goals
10%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 26% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Podbeskidzie Bielsko EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Resovia Rzeszow EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
1.42/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.50
-8% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
348 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Podbeskidzie Bielsko
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Resovia Rzeszow
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.08.2023 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow 1-1 HT 0-0 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko POL1
03.06.2023 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko 4-3 HT 1-3 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow POL1
05.11.2022 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow 2-2 HT 2-0 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko POL1
08.04.2022 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow 1-1 HT 1-0 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko POL1
26.09.2021 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko 2-0 HT 1-0 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Podbeskidzie Bielsko
2-2
AWAY Resovia Rzeszow
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Resovia Rzeszow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Podbeskidzie Bielsko and Resovia Rzeszow shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Podbeskidzie Bielsko at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Podbeskidzie Bielsko had 55% of the ball to Resovia Rzeszow's 45%, shots finished 16-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Podbeskidzie Bielsko had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Podbeskidzie Bielsko and 1.40 for Resovia Rzeszow.

What was the final score of Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Resovia Rzeszow?

Podbeskidzie Bielsko 2-2 Resovia Rzeszow in the Poland - 1st Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Resovia Rzeszow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Podbeskidzie Bielsko win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Podbeskidzie Bielsko 44%, draw 27%, Resovia Rzeszow 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Podbeskidzie Bielsko) ✗ BTTS No
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